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VERSION:2.0
CALSCALE:GREGORIAN
PRODID:UW-Madison-Physics-Events
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SEQUENCE:0
UID:UW-Physics-Event-2965
DTSTART:20130212T180500Z
DURATION:PT1H0M0S
DTSTAMP:20260315T141535Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20130207T210128Z
LOCATION:4274 Chamberlin (Refreshments will be served)
SUMMARY:Was 2012 a failure for the polls? Was Nate Silver exceptionall
 y accurate?\, Chaos & Complex Systems Seminar\, Charles Franklin\, UW 
 Department of Political Science
DESCRIPTION: In 2012 polls came in for exceptional scrutiny and critic
 ism. Claims that polls where hopelessly skewed became a common meme of
  the fall campaign. And indeed\, polling faces significant practical c
 hallenges. But did the polls\, in the end\, perform poorly? Interestin
 gly\, campaign leaders from both the Obama and the Romney campaign hav
 e been quoted saying the polls failed. And yet the Obama campaign made
  unprecedented use of polling in their data analytics. Meanwhile\, Nat
 e Silver came to personify the quantitative analysis of election campa
 igns. His successful predictions for 50 of 50 states is vindication of
  his forecasts. But did Nate do better than other forecasts?
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URL:https://www.physics.wisc.edu/events/?id=2965
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