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VERSION:2.0
CALSCALE:GREGORIAN
PRODID:UW-Madison-Physics-Events
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SEQUENCE:0
UID:UW-Physics-Event-5358
DTSTART:20200303T180500Z
DTEND:20200303T190000Z
DTSTAMP:20260414T225347Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20200205T230821Z
LOCATION:4274 Chamberlin (refreshments will be served)
SUMMARY:The complexities of conveying hurricane forecast uncertainty t
 o the public\, Chaos & Complex Systems Seminar\,  Derrick Herndon\, Sp
 ace Science and Engineering Center
DESCRIPTION:Tropical Cyclones (Hurricanes) are one of the most violent
  and dynamic storms on our planet.  Each year an average of 80 tropica
 l cyclones develop over the warm tropical oceans.  Most of these storm
 s spin harmlessly at sea.   Others bring extreme winds\, torrential ra
 infall and surges from the ocean ashore to devastating effect.  Signif
 icant progress has been made in our ability to forecast the developmen
 t and track of these storms over the last few decades.  However\, subs
 tantial challenges remain.  Our ability to forecast the internal dynam
 ics that drive the changes in storm intensity have not quite kept pace
  with other aspects of the forecast problem.  Providing accurate and m
 eaningful forecast information for an inherently chaotic system to the
  public is also a continuing challenge.  This talk will explore recent
  advances in our understanding of these storms along with some remaini
 ng challenges related to the complex interactions between people and h
 urricanes. 
URL:https://www.physics.wisc.edu/events/?id=5358
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