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Events on Tuesday, April 28th, 2015

Chaos & Complex Systems Seminar
Barker frailty, Barker echoes and warped older age mortality dynamics
Time: 12:05 pm
Place: 4274 Chamberlin Hall (Refreshments will be served)
Speaker: Alberto Palloni and Hiram Beltran Sanchez, UW Center for Demography and Health of Aging
Abstract: An association between early childhood and old age mortality in successive birth cohorts (Barker frailty) generates conditions under which old age mortality can increase, decrease or remain constant even though background mortality is declining (Barker echoes). The stronger the association is, the larger will be the deviations from background mortality, but, paradoxically, the less durable this deviant behavior will be (warped dynamics). Under regimes of strong Barker frailty, life expectancy at older ages my decrease even though survival conditions are improving.
Host: Clint Sprott
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