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WiCOR/Astronomy Monday Science Seminar
Coda of a Dying Sun
Date: Monday, September 21st
Time: 12:00 pm - 1:00 pm
Place: WiCOR Space, 6515 Sterling Hall
Speaker: Konstantin Batygin, Professor, Division of Geological & Planetary Sciences, Caltech
Abstract: From its birth, celestial mechanics has been deeply intertwined with the question of the Solar System’s dynamical stability. For the inner planets, this question is now statistically settled: Mercury’s orbit carries roughly a 1 percent chance of destabilization before the Sun leaves the main sequence. The outer Solar System has seemed more secure, with an intrinsic dynamical lifetime estimated at approximately 10^18 years. Even accounting for solar mass loss and stellar flybys, the orbital architecture of the giant planets has been expected to persist for roughly 100 billion years.

Here, we show that these estimates rest on the assumption that solar mass loss is smooth. The recently measured recoil of white dwarfs instead points to asymmetric mass loss, most readily attributed to discrete, independently directed ejections that impulsively perturb stellar motion. As the Sun sheds its envelope in such parcels, the planetary orbits undergo a random walk whose amplitude is determined by the granularity of the mass loss. For granularity consistent with observationally permitted kicks, this stochastic forcing restructures the outer Solar System concurrently with the Sun’s death.

Our numerical experiments reveal that orbit crossing can begin on the red giant branch, with roughly 40 percent of realizations undergoing disruption or violent scattering before the white dwarf forms and roughly 90 percent self-destructing within 3 billion years. The dynamical lifetime of the outer Solar System thus collapses from approximately 10^18 years to about a billion years after white dwarf formation.
Host: WiCOR, Juliette Becker
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